Basic Euro Trading Strategies

Zarith Sofea · 04 Dec 2023 4.7K Views

Euro (EUR) traders are assessing the Eurozone economy's strength relative to its main counterparts. The connection between the euro (EUR) and the U.S. dollar (USD) signifies the most liquid forex pairing globally, offering narrow spreads and extensive price fluctuations that generate continuous chances for profitable trades.

While multiple methods exist for trading the EUR/USD pair, three straightforward strategies have consistently proven effective. These strategies cater to forex traders at various expertise levels. Novice traders can limit their position size to manage risk, while seasoned traders can increase their position size to fully capitalize on the available opportunities.

1. Buy the Pullback or Sell the Pullback

The EUR/USD trend displays vigorous shifts in both directions, propelling the price between levels due to a self-reinforcing cycle that builds substantial momentum.

Yet, this swift movement tends to lose steam as the balance between supply and demand changes, often ensnaring late entrants whose positions might suffer losses when the currency pair reverses course.

The pullback strategy capitalizes on this counter-trending movement by pinpointing significant support or resistance levels that could conclude the price swing and restore the initial trend's direction.

These levels commonly align with previous highs or lows and significant points identified by Fibonacci retracements, moving averages, and the starting point of the initial surge.

2. Purchase the Uptrend and Offset the Downtrend

The EUR/USD pair frequently moves back and forth within defined limits for extended periods, creating clear trading ranges that will eventually lead to new upward or downward trends.

Being patient during these consolidation phases can be rewarding as it allows for low-risk trading opportunities when either support or resistance levels finally break, leading to a strong surge or decline.

Effective timing is crucial to fully benefit from this straightforward strategy. Entering too early might result in the range holding and causing a reversal. Conversely, entering too late may mean executing trades well above new support or well below new resistance.

To minimize timing risks, it's often wise to initiate a partial position when the pair breaks out or down and then consider adding to it during the initial minor retracement.

3. Type in Limited Range Patterns

EUR/USD tends to oscillate near a significant barrier before settling into a period of reduced activity, generating narrow range price bars that dampen volatility and induce indifference among traders.

Interestingly, this tranquil phase often signals a compelling opportunity for a breakout or breakdown. By employing this strategy, a trader initiates a position during the narrow range pattern, maintaining a tight stop to guard against a substantial reversal.

This scenario frequently produces an NR7 bar, indicating the narrowest range among the last seven bars. Initially observed in the U.S. futures markets during the 1950s, this uncomplicated yet potent pattern anticipates an expansion in price bars, leading to a substantial breakout or breakdown. Moreover, it presents a low-risk entry due to the ability to set the stop loss very close to the entry price.

What Is the EUR/USD?

EUR/USD stands as a currency pair denoting the correlation between the world's most extensively traded currencies. Specifically, when quoted, EUR/USD reflects the quantity of U.S. dollars required for the purchase of 1 euro in terms of value.

What Influences the EUR/USD Exchange Rate?

The political and economic climate in the United States and the eurozone's member nations can have an impact on the EUR/USD currency pair exchange rate. The European Central Bank and the Federal Reserve may take measures to affect the spread. Monetary policies of powerful nations, like Germany, can also do this. It is critical for investors and traders to remain informed about events occurring on both sides of the Atlantic in order to trade profitably.

Is Technical Analysis Useful for EUR/USD Traders?

Making informed decisions about investments and forex trading can benefit from both technical and fundamental analysis. Setting trade entry and exit points is a task for fundamental analysis, which makes use of economic data. Technical analysis times executions by analyzing price action chart patterns and related technical indicators. For traders who engage in frequent trading in the highly liquid and rapidly moving forex market, technical analysis could be especially useful. You're not, however, restricted to any one kind of analysis.

Conclusion 

Both inexperienced and seasoned euro traders can use the three straightforward but powerful strategies that capitalize on recurring price action as previously explained. 

With Currency Shares Euro Currency Trust (FXE), an equity trading platform that tracks the forex pair in real-time, equity traders can also use these strategies. If you are able to handle the extra risk, you can also trade leveraged and inverse ETFs.

ProShares Ultra Euro (ULE) provides exposure to both long and short sides. As of June 1, 2022, the average volume was 20,106, indicating that it is, nonetheless, thinly traded.

ProShares UltraShort Euro (EUO) provides more liquidity and equal leverage for short sellers. 90,482 was its average trade volume.

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