Australian Dollar Edges Lower Amidst Declining Equity Market, Stable US Dollar

Zarith Sofea · 03 Apr 9.4K Views


Oil prices saw a modest rally today, buoyed by optimism surrounding a potential drawdown in US crude inventories, as indicated by the latest industry report. West Texas Intermediate (WTI) traded around $85 a barrel, while Brent crude hovered near $89 per barrel, maintaining its upward trajectory seen in recent sessions. The American Petroleum Institute's report suggested a significant decrease of over 2 million barrels in nationwide stockpiles last week, indicating a potential tightening of supply.

Investor focus remains on the upcoming OPEC+ meeting, where the group is expected to reaffirm current supply cuts. OPEC's decision regarding production levels will likely have a considerable impact on market sentiment and price dynamics in the coming sessions. Traders are closely monitoring any developments or statements from OPEC members regarding future production strategies.


XAUUSD continued to exhibit strength, holding near its recent record highs, supported by dovish comments from Federal Reserve officials regarding potential interest rate cuts in 2024. Silver also surged to a two-year high, underlining the broad-based bullish sentiment in the precious metals market.

Spot gold maintained stability around $2,281.29 an ounce, after briefly touching $2,288.40 earlier in the session. The precious metal has experienced a remarkable rally of nearly 11% since the beginning of the year, driven by expectations of monetary policy easing in the United States. Silver prices climbed to $26.34 an ounce, marking the highest intraday level since March 2022, further reinforcing the bullish momentum in the precious metals sector.

Investors continue to view gold as a hedge against inflationary pressures and geopolitical uncertainties, with the prospect of lower interest rates enhancing the appeal of non-yielding assets like gold.


The Australian Dollar (AUD) witnessed a slight retracement today following its recent gains, primarily driven by downward pressure on the US Dollar (USD) stemming from a decline in US Treasury yields. Despite the pullback, the AUD/USD pair found support as the Australian Dollar benefited from improved sentiment surrounding China's Services PMI, which rose to 52.7 in March compared to the previous reading of 52.5.

Dovish remarks from Federal Reserve officials further weighed on the US Dollar, providing additional support to the AUD/USD pair. However, the decline in the ASX 200 Index exerted some pressure on the Australian Dollar, limiting its upside potential.

The AUDUSD pair traded around 0.6510, with immediate support observed near the psychological level of 0.6500. Market participants continue to monitor developments in US monetary policy and broader market sentiment for further cues on the currency pair's direction in the near term.

Entry Suggestions:

Based on the current market dynamics:

WTI: Consider initiating long positions in oil futures or related instruments, anticipating further upside potential if OPEC+ reaffirms supply cuts during the upcoming meeting. Look for entry opportunities near current levels or on any pullbacks, with a target price of $90 for Brent crude and $86 for West Texas Intermediate.

XAUUSD: Continue to maintain long positions in gold, given the persistent bullish sentiment and expectations of future interest rate cuts by the Federal Reserve. Look for opportunities to add to positions on any minor pullbacks, targeting further upside towards $2300 per ounce in the short term.

AUDUSD: Monitor the AUD/USD pair for potential long positions, considering the supportive factors such as downward pressure on the US Dollar and improved Chinese economic data. Look for entry points near the current levels or on dips towards 0.6500, with a target price of 0.6550 in the near term.


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Paraphrasing text from FXStreet, and Yahoo Finance all rights reserved by the original author.


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